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    Market Intelligence

    Star Ranch Real Estate Market Report — April 2026

    Updated April 2026 · Based on Feb–Mar 2026 closed Unlock MLS data

    I could give you the optimistic version of this market. Plenty of agents do. But I specialize in Star Ranch, which means I have to look you in the eye and tell you the accurate version instead. The Star Ranch and Hutto market in spring 2026 is a balanced-to-buyer-leaning market. Prices have pulled back roughly 10% year-over-year. Homes are sitting longer — a 71-day median DOM for closed Hutto sales in February. Sellers are negotiating, but only modestly: closings are coming in around 2.5% under list, not 10%.

    The headline: Hutto closed 82 sales in February — the highest monthly volume in recent memory and a 121.6% year-over-year jump. Affordability is pulling buyers back. Mortgage rates have settled in the low-6s after briefly dipping under 6% earlier this year, which is the best rate environment buyers have seen since 2022. If you've been waiting on the sidelines, this is the window.

    For sellers, the rules have changed from 2021. Pricing precision matters. The $400K–$500K band — which captures most of Star Ranch's 4-bedroom, 2,200–3,000 sq ft inventory — currently sits at 8.6 months of supply. That's a buyer's market by any honest definition. You can still win in that range, but you have to price right on day one and present the home impeccably.

    The Numbers — April 2026
    $334,950
    Hutto Median Sale Price

    Feb 2026, down 10.7% YoY from $375,000. Star Ranch's larger avg sq ft (~2,700) supports a premium — typical Star Ranch closings still trend mid-$300s to mid-$400s.

    71 Days
    Median Days on Market

    For closed Hutto sales in Feb 2026. Active listings show a 25-day median DOM, meaning right-priced new inventory still moves fast — older overpriced stock skews the closed average.

    -2.5%
    Sold vs. List Price

    Hutto's Feb 2026 list-to-close ratio was 91.9%. Modest but real negotiating room. Buyers have leverage; sellers who price correctly still close.

    $172/sq ft
    Price Per Square Foot

    Down 12.7% year-over-year (Hutto, Feb 2026). Real opportunity for buyers, especially in the $400K–$500K band where supply is heaviest.

    4.7 Months
    Hutto Months of Supply

    386 active listings against 82 Feb closings. Balanced market territory (6 months = balanced). The $400K–$500K range is at 8.6 months — heavy buyer leverage.

    ~6.28%
    30-Yr Mortgage Rate

    As of mid-April 2026 (Optimal Blue / Bankrate). Rates dipped under 6% briefly in February before settling back into the low-6s.

    ~$33/mo
    Star Ranch HOA

    (~$400/year) — community pool and amenity center included. One of the lowest HOA dues in the area for an amenitized community.

    2.3608%
    Tax Rate 2024 (Hutto ISD)

    Down from 2.9552% in 2021. Pflugerville ISD portion of Star Ranch: 2.2527%. Verify your specific lot's school assignment before writing an offer.

    $29.2M
    Hutto Sales Volume (Feb)

    82 closings — the highest monthly volume in recent months. Sales activity is up 121.6% YoY; affordability is pulling buyers back in.

    Sources: Unlock MLS / Austin Board of REALTORS® (Feb 2026 Hutto data), Optimal Blue, Bankrate, Williamson County tax rolls. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

    Where the Leverage Sits — Months of Supply by Price

    Not every price band moves the same way. Below 6 months of supply favors sellers; above 6 favors buyers. This breakdown shows where Star Ranch buyers and sellers actually stand right now.

    Price Range
    Months of Supply
    What It Means
    Under $300K
    < 4 months
    Competitive — sellers have the upper hand
    $300K–$400K
    ~4–5 months
    Balanced — Star Ranch's core entry band
    $400K–$500K
    8.6 months
    Heavy buyer leverage — Star Ranch's typical move-up band
    $500K–$800K
    ~6–7 months
    Soft buyer's market — premium golf-course homes
    $800K–$1M
    < 4 months
    Surprisingly tight at the top of the market

    Hutto-area data, Feb 2026. Source: Unlock MLS.

    Star Ranch Price by Home Size

    Bedrooms
    Size
    Price Range
    3 BR
    1,400–1,700 sq ft
    Mid-to-high $300s
    3–4 BR
    1,700–2,200 sq ft
    High $300s
    4 BR
    2,200–3,000 sq ft
    Low-to-mid $400s
    4–5 BR
    3,000–4,150 sq ft
    Mid $400s – $600s+

    The Three-Year Pricing Arc

    Hutto's full-year median was $372,245 in 2024, then $344,750 in 2025, and is tracking around $328,970 year-to-date in 2026. That's a roughly 12% softening over two years.

    The cause isn't weakness — it's supply. New construction along FM 685 and across the Williamson County growth corridor has added inventory faster than absorption, which keeps prices in check. Good news for buyers. Tougher news for sellers competing against a builder offering rate buy-downs and closing-cost incentives next door.

    Star Ranch is partially insulated because the neighborhood is largely built out, has mature trees, and offers a golf course and amenity package the new builds along 685 simply don't have. That's why Star Ranch closings still trend at a premium to the broader Hutto median.

    For Buyers

    Is Now a Good Time to Buy?

    Yes. Prices are off their peak by ~10% YoY. Sellers are negotiating. Mortgage rates are in the low-6s — the best rate environment since 2022. For buyers who sat out the 2021–2022 frenzy, this is the window they were waiting for.

    Hutto remains one of the fastest-growing cities in the US. Samsung's $17 billion fab plant in Taylor is 15 miles east and the employment ripple effects are still in early innings. Star Ranch's established trees, championship golf course, and multi-builder variety mean you're buying a neighborhood that cannot be replicated by new construction.

    Practical tip: in the $400K–$500K band, where supply is heaviest, ask for closing cost concessions or a rate buy-down. Sellers in that range are motivated.

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    For Sellers

    Is Now a Good Time to Sell?

    Yes — but only with the right strategy. Active listings in Hutto have a 25-day median DOM, while closed sales sit at 71 days. The gap tells you everything: priced-right homes move fast; overpriced ones rot.

    Homes that sit past 30 days accumulate stigma. Past 60, buyers start discounting before they write a number. The sellers who win in 2026 price precisely on day one, prepare the home impeccably, and don't chase the market down.

    Star Ranch attracts a specific buyer — someone who wants the golf course, established trees, and Stone Hill Town Center convenience. That's a real advantage over generic new-build inventory. Lean into it in your marketing.

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